Journal · Thursday, 5 November 2026🔍 Search

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The Zevin Intelligence Journal

Chanan Zevin

Chief Editor and Head of Desks

Independent intelligence on the forces shaping our world.

Play: Why Did Vance Blame the War? Inside the GOP Meltdown | Chanan Zevin · Zevin Newsroom · 5 Nov 2026

The Zevin Intelligence News Site

5 Nov 2026

Previous edition: 4 Nov 2026

Edition — Thursday, 5 November 2026

The day after the day after: the vice president blames the Iran war, Republicans hunt for a scapegoat, and the world recalculates. Our View, then Financial Markets at the end of the edition.

'The Reason We Lost Is the War': Vance Breaks Ranks as Republicans Turn on One Another

Lead story · Politics ·

'The Reason We Lost Is the War': Vance Breaks Ranks as Republicans Turn on One Another

A day after the worst midterm defeat for a governing party in decades, Vice President JD Vance blamed the Iran war, President Trump said he 'would have done nothing different,' and the Republican Party began a very public argument about who is at fault.

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Also today

Chandeliers and a Shrinking Mandate: Trump Begins Life as a Lame Duck With Two Years Left to Fight

White House

Chandeliers and a Shrinking Mandate: Trump Begins Life as a Lame Duck With Two Years Left to Fight

After a decade at the centre of American politics, the president is wounded and his power is diminished. Those around him say the next two years could bring deals, vetoes, executive orders and possibly a return to war with Iran.

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Mike Johnson Steps Aside as Scalise and Jordan Race to Lead a Diminished House GOP

Congress

Mike Johnson Steps Aside as Scalise and Jordan Race to Lead a Diminished House GOP

The speaker who held together one of the thinnest majorities in modern history will not seek to lead Republicans in the minority, setting up a quick contest between two veterans of the party's past leadership fights.

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Knives Out at the Pentagon: Republicans Look for Someone to Blame for the Iran War, and Find Hegseth

Pentagon

Knives Out at the Pentagon: Republicans Look for Someone to Blame for the Iran War, and Find Hegseth

With the president still off limits, many Republicans are moving to pin their midterm losses on the defense secretary. A House vote on impeaching him could come as soon as next week.

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Beyond Washington: Democrats Win Most Governorships, Flip Statehouses and Break Through in Texas

Election 2026

Beyond Washington: Democrats Win Most Governorships, Flip Statehouses and Break Through in Texas

Tuesday's wave reached far below Congress. Democrats will control a majority of governors' mansions, won full control of several state governments and ended a 32-year statewide losing streak in Texas, as a string of candidates made history.

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Netanyahu Cries Fraud as Herzog Weighs Who Gets the First Chance at Israel's Next Government

Middle East

Netanyahu Cries Fraud as Herzog Weighs Who Gets the First Chance at Israel's Next Government

A week after losing his majority, Israel's prime minister is still challenging the certified result of the 27 October election, as his Shin Bet chief clashes with the attorney general and the president begins coalition talks.

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Tehran Celebrates, Kyiv Hopes, Jerusalem Worries: What Trump's Defeat Means Abroad

Iran War

Tehran Celebrates, Kyiv Hopes, Jerusalem Worries: What Trump's Defeat Means Abroad

Around the world, governments are recalculating after Tuesday's rebuke of the American president. Iran sees vindication, Ukraine sees hope and Israel's leaders see a Washington that may no longer give them a blank cheque.

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Ten More Years: Joshua Wong, Face of Hong Kong's Crushed Democracy Movement, Is Sentenced Again

Asia

Ten More Years: Joshua Wong, Face of Hong Kong's Crushed Democracy Movement, Is Sentenced Again

The activist who rose to fame as a 15-year-old protest leader was due for release in January. Now, after a second national security conviction, he faces entering middle age behind bars.

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Alito and Thomas Are Staying Put, and the Right Starts to Worry About the Court

Supreme Court

Alito and Thomas Are Staying Put, and the Right Starts to Worry About the Court

With Democrats taking the Senate in January, President Trump may finish his term without another Supreme Court appointment. People close to the court's two oldest justices say neither plans to leave because of the election.

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Every Ballot Counts in Mississippi: A Senate Race Decided by Dozens of Votes, and No Recount Law

U.S. News

Every Ballot Counts in Mississippi: A Senate Race Decided by Dozens of Votes, and No Recount Law

Democrat Scott Colom and Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith are separated by a sliver of the vote, with about 15,000 provisional ballots still to be vetted. Alaska's Senate race is also uncalled, leaving the final size of the Democratic majority unknown.

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The Ballot Box Turns on the Data Center: Voters Deliver a Blow to the AI Buildout

Technology

The Ballot Box Turns on the Data Center: Voters Deliver a Blow to the AI Buildout

In dozens of places across the country, voters passed bans or restrictions on the giant facilities that power artificial intelligence, and elected candidates who promised to regulate the industry. Wall Street noticed.

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Our View: The Vice President Named the Cause. Now Washington Must End the War Wisely

Our View

Our View: The Vice President Named the Cause. Now Washington Must End the War Wisely

JD Vance said what the voters already knew: the Iran war cost Republicans their majorities. Finding a scapegoat at the Pentagon will not fix that. A responsible, negotiated end to the conflict, made with Congress, would.

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Financial Markets

Stocks, oil, currencies and bonds on 5 November 2026.

The Dow's Best Post-Midterm Day Since 1982, and Why the AI Trade Did Not Join the Party

Stocks

The Dow's Best Post-Midterm Day Since 1982, and Why the AI Trade Did Not Join the Party

Wall Street cheered divided government, a falling oil price and the prospect of a quieter Gulf. But the companies building the AI boom slipped, and on Thursday the selling hit chipmakers in Seoul and Tokyo hard.

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Oil Sinks to Its Lowest Since August as Gold Posts Its Best Day in Months

Commodities

Oil Sinks to Its Lowest Since August as Gold Posts Its Best Day in Months

Crude fell nearly 9 percent on Wednesday as traders bet the midterm shock would push Washington toward ending the Iran war, and slipped again on Thursday. Gold, silver and platinum surged as the dollar and Treasury yields fell.

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The Dollar Slides to Its Lowest Since September as Traders Bet on Gridlock and a Quieter Gulf

Forex

The Dollar Slides to Its Lowest Since September as Traders Bet on Gridlock and a Quieter Gulf

The greenback fell for a second day after the Democratic sweep, pushing the euro, the yen and sterling higher, as investors priced in less government borrowing and a possible end to the Iran war.

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Treasuries Rally for a Second Day as Gridlock Promises Less Borrowing

Bonds

Treasuries Rally for a Second Day as Gridlock Promises Less Borrowing

The 10-year yield fell to its lowest level since September as investors bet that a Democratic Congress will block big tax cuts and spending, and that a quieter Gulf will cool inflation.

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Zevin Intelligence - Analysis

Zevin Intelligence - Analysis

The Gridlock Rally, Day Two: stocks, oil and gold, the dollar and Treasuries

Today's analysis section in one place, with the video analysis from The Zevin Newsroom.

Open the analysis →
Zevin Intelligence - Editorial

Zevin Intelligence - Editorial

Our View: The Vice President Named the Cause. Now Washington Must End the War Wisely

JD Vance said what the voters already knew: the Iran war cost Republicans their majorities. Finding a scapegoat at the Pentagon will not fix that. A responsible, negotiated end to the conflict, made with Congress, would.

Read the editorial →

Edition — Wednesday, 4 November 2026

The morning after the midterms: Democrats take Congress, Trump answers, and the world reacts. Our View, then Financial Markets at the end of the edition.

A Blue Wave Breaks Over Trump's America as Democrats Seize Both Houses of Congress

Lead story · Politics ·

A Blue Wave Breaks Over Trump's America as Democrats Seize Both Houses of Congress

Voters handed President Trump a sweeping rebuke on Tuesday, giving Democrats the House and the Senate, flipping governorships from Texas to Iowa and erasing in one night the gains Republicans had built over a decade.

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Also today

Seven Seats, One Majority: How Democrats Took the Senate From Kansas to Maine

Senate

Seven Seats, One Majority: How Democrats Took the Senate From Kansas to Maine

Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats and kept every one of their own, defeating several candidates hand-picked by President Trump and securing a platform to check his agenda.

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'I Wasn't on the Ballot': Trump Shrugs Off the Rout, Blames His Candidates and Fox News

White House

'I Wasn't on the Ballot': Trump Shrugs Off the Rout, Blames His Candidates and Fox News

President Trump said he would accept the midterm results and work with Democrats, but insisted the losses were not a verdict on him, pointing instead to weak candidates, a hostile mood and his once-favorite television channel.

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Hakeem Jeffries Stands at the Door of History as the First Black Speaker of the House

Congress

Hakeem Jeffries Stands at the Door of History as the First Black Speaker of the House

The Brooklyn Democrat who once battle-rapped as a teenager is on course to take the speaker's gavel in January, with a mandate for change and a restless caucus that he will have to keep in line.

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A Night of Firsts: Georgia Elects a Black Woman Governor as New Faces Reshape American Politics

Election 2026

A Night of Firsts: Georgia Elects a Black Woman Governor as New Faces Reshape American Politics

Keisha Lance Bottoms made history in Georgia, Byron Donalds in Florida and Deb Haaland in New Mexico, as voters elevated a new and strikingly varied generation of leaders.

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Trump Says America Will End Its $4 Billion a Year in Aid to Israel: 'They Don't Need It'

Middle East

Trump Says America Will End Its $4 Billion a Year in Aid to Israel: 'They Don't Need It'

On the morning of Election Day, the president announced that U.S. assistance to Israel would stop at the end of the year, a sudden break with decades of policy that landed in the middle of Israel's coalition talks.

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With the Votes Counted, the Gulf Holds Its Breath Over What Trump Does Next on Iran

Iran War

With the Votes Counted, the Gulf Holds Its Breath Over What Trump Does Next on Iran

Gulf states are racing to head off a return to full-scale war as the midterm deadline passes, while Tehran calls Washington's latest reply unconvincing and some Iranian voices openly argue for a nuclear bomb.

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Three-Ton Bombs on a Shelter: Russia's Strike on an Aid Hub Becomes One of the War's Deadliest

Ukraine War

Three-Ton Bombs on a Shelter: Russia's Strike on an Aid Hub Becomes One of the War's Deadliest

At least 33 people were killed and dozens more are missing after Russian bombs struck a school used as an aid hub, and the shelter beside it, in the Zaporizhzhia region, as Moscow followed up with a vast drone and missile barrage on Ukraine's power grid.

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Church, State and a Preschool in Colorado: The Supreme Court Signals Another Win for Religious Schools

Supreme Court

Church, State and a Preschool in Colorado: The Supreme Court Signals Another Win for Religious Schools

The court's conservative majority appeared ready to let publicly funded Catholic preschools turn away the children of same-sex couples, in a case that tests how far the justices will go in remaking the line between church and state.

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'Mayday, Mayday': Tail Pieces Found Miles Away as Investigators Rebuild the Last Minute of a Florida Jet

U.S. News

'Mayday, Mayday': Tail Pieces Found Miles Away as Investigators Rebuild the Last Minute of a Florida Jet

Federal investigators say the Learjet that plunged onto a Palm Beach County road, killing all nine people aboard, began breaking apart in flight after its young co-pilot reported ice and turbulence.

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Google Tells Schools: Turn Off AI if You Like, but You May Lose Search Too

Technology

Google Tells Schools: Turn Off AI if You Like, but You May Lose Search Too

Google will switch its AI tools off by default for students, but schools that ban AI entirely will also lose access to Google Search, a trade-off critics say forces artificial intelligence into the classroom.

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Our View: The Voters Have Spoken. Now Washington Must Govern

Our View

Our View: The Voters Have Spoken. Now Washington Must Govern

Tuesday's result was a clear verdict on two years of tariffs, war and drift. The new Democratic majorities have earned the right to check the president, and they now carry the duty to deliver.

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Financial Markets

Stocks, oil, currencies and bonds on 4 November 2026.

Blue Wave, Red Screens: Democrats' Sweep Jolts the AI Trade From Tokyo to Wall Street

Stocks

Blue Wave, Red Screens: Democrats' Sweep Jolts the AI Trade From Tokyo to Wall Street

Global stocks slid and Nasdaq futures briefly fell more than 2 percent as investors bet that a Democratic Congress will bring tougher scrutiny of the artificial intelligence boom.

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Gold Jumps Past $4,000 and Oil Hovers Near a Four-Week Low as Washington Changes Hands

Commodities

Gold Jumps Past $4,000 and Oil Hovers Near a Four-Week Low as Washington Changes Hands

Gold rose 2.4 percent as the dollar weakened after the midterms, while oil swung in a narrow range as traders weighed peace talks over Iran and Ukraine against the risk of new attacks on supply.

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The Dollar Slips to a One-Month Low as Yen and Swiss Franc Lead a Safe-Haven Rally

Forex

The Dollar Slips to a One-Month Low as Yen and Swiss Franc Lead a Safe-Haven Rally

The dollar fell broadly after Democrats won Congress, with the yen and the Swiss franc posting the biggest gains and the euro climbing to about $1.125.

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Treasuries Rally as Investors Bet a Divided Washington Will Borrow Less

Bonds

Treasuries Rally as Investors Bet a Divided Washington Will Borrow Less

The 10-year Treasury yield fell to about 4.9 percent after Democrats won Congress, as traders wagered that gridlock would cap new spending and tax cuts and reduce bond supply.

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Edition — Tuesday, 3 November 2026

Election Day in America, the Iran war and the day's world news. Financial Markets at the end of the edition.

America Votes: Trump's First Midterm Verdict, With Congress on the Line

Lead story · Politics ·

America Votes: Trump's First Midterm Verdict, With Congress on the Line

Americans vote on Tuesday in midterm elections serving as a referendum on President Donald Trump's second term, with Democrats favored to flip the House while control of the Senate remains closely contested.

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Also today

Strikes on Qeshm, Mediators in Tehran: Iran Says Peace Is Still Far Off

Geopolitics

Strikes on Qeshm, Mediators in Tehran: Iran Says Peace Is Still Far Off

A senior Iranian official told Reuters a deal to end the war remains distant despite Qatari mediation, following overnight American strikes on Qeshm Island and the downing of a US drone.

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Hours Before Polls Open, a Judge Stops Washington From Leaning on States Over Noncitizen Voting

Politics

Hours Before Polls Open, a Judge Stops Washington From Leaning on States Over Noncitizen Voting

Judge Tanya Chutkan temporarily blocked the Trump administration from sending states lists of suspected noncitizens and demanding ballots be held, citing unreliable data and risk to voters.

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856 Drones in One Night: Ukraine Hits a Russian Refinery as Moscow Pounds the Power Grid

Geopolitics

856 Drones in One Night: Ukraine Hits a Russian Refinery as Moscow Pounds the Power Grid

Ukrainian drones damaged an oil refinery in Yaroslavl as Russia reported downing 856 drones overnight, while reciprocal Russian strikes cut power to hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian households.

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Spain's Rail Minister Faces Parliament After Europe's Deadliest Train Crash in More Than a Decade

World

Spain's Rail Minister Faces Parliament After Europe's Deadliest Train Crash in More Than a Decade

Transport Minister Oscar Puente faced lawmakers over a high-speed crash that killed 69, as Spain approved victim aid and prepared rail reforms ahead of a November 29 vote.

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Can a Chatbot Take the News? An EU Court Adviser Says Google's Gemini Might Cross the Line

AI

Can a Chatbot Take the News? An EU Court Adviser Says Google's Gemini Might Cross the Line

Advocate General Maciej Szpunar said Google's Gemini may infringe press rights when retrieving articles for answers, while training AI on protected material is allowed under the text-and-data-mining exception.

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Nvidia Tells Its Cloud Partners: Sell Less Computing Power to China

Technology

Nvidia Tells Its Cloud Partners: Sell Less Computing Power to China

Nvidia has ordered data centre partners to scale back work with Chinese customers, setting a strict quota on overseas cloud computing capacity.

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Screens Go Dark in Prague as Czech Public Broadcasters Strike Over Their Future

World

Screens Go Dark in Prague as Czech Public Broadcasters Strike Over Their Future

Czech public television and radio employees staged a one-day strike on Tuesday to resist government funding cuts and a proposed transition to state budget financing.

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Deal or 'the Hammer': Trump Keeps Iran Guessing After a Call With Netanyahu

World

Deal or 'the Hammer': Trump Keeps Iran Guessing After a Call With Netanyahu

President Donald Trump warned Iran could face 'the hammer' if war continues, even as Israel denied pushing Washington for strikes following a call between Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu.

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Bombs at the Aid Line: Russian Strikes Kill 26 at a Village School in Southern Ukraine

World

Bombs at the Aid Line: Russian Strikes Kill 26 at a Village School in Southern Ukraine

Russia bombed an aid site and shelter in Komyshuvakha on Monday, Nov. 2, killing 26 people, Ukrainian officials said, as a brief ceasefire expired and rescuers searched for 27 missing.

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Europe Rehearses for a Peace in Ukraine That Has Not Yet Come

World

Europe Rehearses for a Peace in Ukraine That Has Not Yet Come

Thousands of European troops will join Exercise Koalicja in Poland from 9 to 22 November, rehearsing a British- and French-led mission to secure Ukraine's skies and rebuild its armed forces once fighting concludes.

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Financial Markets

Stocks, oil, currencies and bonds on 3 November 2026.

AI Jitters and Apple's Warning Knock Stocks as America Goes to the Polls

Markets: Stocks

AI Jitters and Apple's Warning Knock Stocks as America Goes to the Polls

A fresh bout of AI anxiety hit global stocks as Apple warned on holiday margins and voters cast ballots in pivotal US midterms.

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Oil Climbs Back Above $106 as Strikes on Qeshm Dim Hopes of Peace

Markets: Commodities

Oil Climbs Back Above $106 as Strikes on Qeshm Dim Hopes of Peace

Brent crude climbed to $106.61 and WTI rose to $98.06 on Tuesday after American strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island and stalled diplomacy halted Monday's drop of more than 7%.

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The Dollar Drifts, the Aussie Dips After a Near 18-Year-High Rate Hike, and the Yuan Slides

Markets: Currencies

The Dollar Drifts, the Aussie Dips After a Near 18-Year-High Rate Hike, and the Yuan Slides

The dollar index traded at 101.72 near a one-month low, the Australian dollar slipped after an RBA rate hike, and China's offshore yuan tumbled following a reserve-ratio shift.

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Big Tech's AI Borrowing Spree Heads for Europe's Bond Markets

Markets: Bonds

Big Tech's AI Borrowing Spree Heads for Europe's Bond Markets

US tech giants are borrowing more in European bond markets to fund AI infrastructure, expanding corporate debt supply and threatening to lift financing costs across the continent.

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Edition — Monday, 2 November 2026

Wall Street's October Bruise Meets Apple Week: Asia Steadies After an AI Wobble

Stocks (Lead story)

Wall Street's October Bruise Meets Apple Week: Asia Steadies After an AI Wobble

Asian markets rebounded on Monday as South Korea climbed 2.6% and Chinese blue chips gained 1.3%, with investors awaiting Apple results following October's steep tech selloff.

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Kioxia's Profit Guide Falls Short and the Memory Trade Blinks

Technology

Kioxia's Profit Guide Falls Short and the Memory Trade Blinks

Kioxia fell 13.29% after its quarterly outlook disappointed, while Tokyo Electron and Panasonic gained over 5%, buffering losses on Japan's Nikkei 225 benchmark index.

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OpenAI Lands in Abu Dhabi's Oil Heartland as ADNOC and G42 Sign On

AI

OpenAI Lands in Abu Dhabi's Oil Heartland as ADNOC and G42 Sign On

ADNOC and G42 have signed a deal with OpenAI to deploy advanced AI across the energy firm, announced as Sam Altman met Abu Dhabi's Crown Prince at ADIPEC.

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The World Has Burned Through Its Energy Cushion, ADNOC's Chief Warns

Industries

The World Has Burned Through Its Energy Cushion, ADNOC's Chief Warns

Global energy supply buffers have eroded after nearly 1 billion barrels of oil were drained from inventories amid shipping disruptions, ADNOC chief executive Sultan Al Jaber warned at the ADIPEC conference on Monday.

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China's Factories Keep Growing, but Foreign Orders Lose Steam

Economics

China's Factories Keep Growing, but Foreign Orders Lose Steam

China's factory gauge eased to 52.0 in October from 52.1 in September, staying in expansion territory even as regional manufacturing momentum slowed amid elevated energy prices.

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A December Hike Looks Settled in Tokyo; the Harder Question Is How Far the BOJ Goes

Bonds

A December Hike Looks Settled in Tokyo; the Harder Question Is How Far the BOJ Goes

Markets and analysts expect the Bank of Japan to raise rates to 1.5% in December, but broad estimates of the neutral rate between 1.1% and 2.5% cloud the trajectory further ahead.

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The Dollar Treads Water Before the Midterms as France Weighs on the Euro

Forex

The Dollar Treads Water Before the Midterms as France Weighs on the Euro

The dollar eased to 101.83 ahead of US midterm elections, while the euro hovered near $1.1182 after Fitch lowered France's credit outlook to negative.

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Oil Gives Up 3% as Qatar-Led Talks Raise Hopes of an End to the Iran War

Commodities

Oil Gives Up 3% as Qatar-Led Talks Raise Hopes of an End to the Iran War

Oil fell more than 1% on Monday as Qatari-led talks to end the Iran war advanced, while OPEC+ kept its December output targets steady.

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Binance Says the Rush for the Exit Is Slowing After the $6.3 Billion Hack

Crypto

Binance Says the Rush for the Exit Is Slowing After the $6.3 Billion Hack

Binance said withdrawals were stabilising as it resumed service after a $6.3 billion theft, with net outflows reaching $3.64 billion, or 2.1% of assets, while bitcoin traded above $78,000.

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A Democrat Crosses the Aisle in Michigan and Shakes Up a Pivotal Senate Fight

Politics

A Democrat Crosses the Aisle in Michigan and Shakes Up a Pivotal Senate Fight

Democrat Haley Stevens backed Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan's Senate race, while a poll showed Abdul El-Sayed ahead 53% to 42%. A judge also dismissed a federal lawsuit tied to Alaska's contest.

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Taiwan Moves to Own Its Ocean Data as Chinese Ships Press Closer

Geo-politics

Taiwan Moves to Own Its Ocean Data as Chinese Ships Press Closer

Taiwan's Ocean Affairs Council head Kuan Bi-ling said the island must conduct its own ocean surveys and control its maritime information as Chinese coast guard and research vessels intensify pressure around its waters.

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A Solar-and-Gas AI Campus in the Outback Hits an Environmental Wall

ClimateTech

A Solar-and-Gas AI Campus in the Outback Hits an Environmental Wall

Energy North scrapped its June 28, 2028 first-power target for Project Ares after the Northern Territory regulator paused review deadlines to assess ten environmental risks.

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Edition — Wednesday, 28 October 2026

AI-generated photo-style image: Brent Tops $115 as a Houthi Strike on Ras Tanura Puts the War Premium Back in Oil

Commodities (Lead story)

Brent Tops $115 as a Houthi Strike on Ras Tanura Puts the War Premium Back in Oil

Oil prices climbed as Houthi militants claimed a missile strike on Ras Tanura and reports emerged of potential post-midterm U.S. strikes on Iran, lifting Brent crude futures to $115.07 per barrel.

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AI-generated photo-style image: Washington Tells the Gulf to Brace for a Short, Hard Iran Campaign After the Midterms

Geo-politics

Washington Tells the Gulf to Brace for a Short, Hard Iran Campaign After the Midterms

The United States has warned Gulf nations to prepare for a short, intense military campaign against Iran after the midterm elections, as military assets move into place and diplomatic talks stall.

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AI-generated photo-style image: Israel Votes, Nobody Wins: Coalition Deadlock Clouds the Iran Calculus

Politics

Israel Votes, Nobody Wins: Coalition Deadlock Clouds the Iran Calculus

Netanyahu claims victory but neither bloc reaches 61 seats, with about 600,000 absentee ballots still to count; the stalemate blurs Israel's next move on Iran.

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AI-generated photo-style image: Warsh Holds the Line: The Fed Pauses With the 10-Year Above 5%

Economics

Warsh Holds the Line: The Fed Pauses With the 10-Year Above 5%

The Fed is expected to hold rates steady under Chair Kevin Warsh despite elevated inflation, as Treasury yields hold near 5% and oil prices climb.

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AI-generated photo-style image: The AI Trade Is Back, and Tonight Microsoft and Alphabet Must Justify It

Stocks

The AI Trade Is Back, and Tonight Microsoft and Alphabet Must Justify It

SK Hynix's surging profit and a $63 billion compute financing structure lifted tech shares on Wednesday, shifting focus to capital expenditure reports from Microsoft and Alphabet.

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AI-generated photo-style image: OpenAI Goes Shopping for Google's Chips, and Nvidia's Monopoly Gets a Rival

AI

OpenAI Goes Shopping for Google's Chips, and Nvidia's Monopoly Gets a Rival

OpenAI plans to buy Google TPUs outright, deepening its move beyond Nvidia GPUs as hyperscaler compute becomes a multi-vendor market.

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AI-generated photo-style image: Dubai Builds Through the War: DIFC Breaks Ground on Dh5.1 Billion Water Gardens

Industries

Dubai Builds Through the War: DIFC Breaks Ground on Dh5.1 Billion Water Gardens

Construction starts on a $1.4 billion mixed-use scheme as DIFC passes 10,018 registered firms; Dubai also approves a Dh2 billion plan for 48 urban centres.

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International Edition — Monday, 26 October 2026

Editorial: Ballots and Balance Sheets: Markets Now Vote the Morning After

AI-generated image of a Brazilian city square with green and yellow flags at dusk

Politics (Lead story)

Lula's Fourth Term: A Four-Million-Vote Margin and a Rival Who Will Not Concede

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Brazil's runoff with about 51.8% of valid votes. Flávio Bolsonaro is seeking to annul the result, a bid electoral judges are reported to see as unlikely to succeed.

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AI-generated image of a trading screen with red falling market charts

Financial Markets

Wall Street Delivers Its Own Verdict on Brazil: A Quarter Wiped Off in a Day

The biggest US-listed Brazil fund closed down about 26% on Monday after Lula's re-election, as investors unwound bets on a fiscal reset under Flávio Bolsonaro.

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AI-generated image of a night crowd celebrating with Serbian flags and flares in a city square

Geo-politics

Students Topple Serbia's Strongman: 52.65% Ends Vučić's 14-Year Grip

Aleksandar Vučić conceded Sunday's snap parliamentary election to the Student List, the movement that has led two years of protests against corruption.

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AI-generated image of Whitehall in London on an overcast morning with a red bus

Economics

Gilt Buyers to Healey: Keep Your Hands Off the Fiscal Rules

Large bond investors want a disciplined Budget this week with no tinkering with the fiscal rules, after a rise in UK borrowing costs.

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AI-generated image of a large AI data centre with server racks

Financial Markets

AI's Borrowing Bill Becomes the Market's Biggest Worry

Rising financing costs for the AI build-out are holding stocks back from new highs. Neocloud shares fell again after Elon Musk predicted that most will fail.

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AI-generated image of a car caravan with Venezuelan flags approaching Caracas at dusk

Geo-politics

Machado Returns From Exile and Tests Caracas's US-Backed Transition

Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado came home after about 11 months abroad, adding pressure on the interim government of Delcy Rodríguez.

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AI-generated image of a long corridor of server racks in a data centre

Technology

Meta Hands Shareholders the AI Bill: $35 Billion Now, Up to $95 Billion in All

Meta launched about $35 billion of stock and convertible offerings to fund its AI build-out, with a further share-sale programme of up to $60 billion planned from early 2027.

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AI-generated image of fibre optic cables and a telecom tower against a city skyline at dusk

Technology

Verizon Rents Its Fibre to the AI Boom and Raises Its Forecasts

Verizon raised its 2026 outlook and signed an AI infrastructure agreement with Amazon Web Services worth more than $2 billion.

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AI-generated image of the California State Capitol in Sacramento in afternoon light

Politics

California's Billionaire Tax Splits Democrats a Week Before the Vote

Proposition 40, a one-time 5% levy on residents worth more than $1 billion, has put the state party on one side and Governor Gavin Newsom on the other.

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AI-generated image of an empty campaign rally hall with red, white and blue balloons

Politics

Musk's Midterm Spending Approaches Half a Billion Dollars

A fresh $77 million donation to his America PAC takes Elon Musk's midterm giving to nearly $450 million, making him the cycle's largest known donor.

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AI-generated image of a military working dog in a tactical harness at a training yard

Technology

Cloned for Duty: A $1.2 Billion Bet on the Military Working Dog

Warhound, founded by Colossal's Ben Lamm with Anduril's Palmer Luckey, raised $200 million to clone and enhance the US military's best-performing dogs.

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AI-generated image of a suburban American street with a blank for-sale sign in autumn

Economics

Mortgage Rates Dip for a Third Day, but 7% Still Rules American Housing

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.24%, down slightly from a week ago, while Freddie Mac's weekly survey shows 7.32%.

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Houthis Say They Targeted Saudi Oil Infrastructure and Riyadh Airport; No Immediate Saudi Confirmation (AI-generated image)

Geopolitics (Front page)

Houthis Say They Targeted Saudi Oil Infrastructure and Riyadh Airport; No Immediate Saudi Confirmation

Yemen's Houthis said on Monday they struck pumping stations on Saudi Arabia's East-West crude pipeline and Riyadh's main airport. Saudi Arabia did not immediately confirm the claims.

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U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Slips Below 5% as Investors Retain Safe-Haven Positions (AI-generated image)

Bonds

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Slips Below 5% as Investors Retain Safe-Haven Positions

The benchmark 10-year yield traded just under 5% on Monday after last week's sharp drop, as investors waited for Wednesday's Fed decision and a heavy data calendar.

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Asian Markets Open Cautiously as Wall Street Futures Edge Higher Ahead of Earnings (AI-generated image)

Stocks

Asian Markets Open Cautiously as Wall Street Futures Edge Higher Ahead of Earnings

Asian shares started the week cautiously while U.S. futures edged up, ahead of a week packed with central bank meetings and megacap earnings.

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Dollar Softens as Lower Treasury Yields Narrow Its Interest-Rate Advantage (AI-generated image)

Forex

Dollar Softens as Lower Treasury Yields Narrow Its Interest-Rate Advantage

The dollar eased on Monday as Treasury yields slipped and oil retreated, with the dollar index near 101.5 ahead of the Fed, ECB and Bank of Japan decisions.

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Brent Retreats From Near Six-Month High as Traders Weigh De-Escalation Efforts and Supply Risks (AI-generated image)

Commodities — Oil

Brent Retreats From Near Six-Month High as Traders Weigh De-Escalation Efforts and Supply Risks

Oil fell on Monday as Qatari mediators visited Tehran, but continued Houthi attacks on Saudi energy sites kept traders wary of renewed supply shocks.

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Gold Holds Near $4,000 After Losing More Than 4% Last Week (AI-generated image)

Commodities — Gold

Gold Holds Near $4,000 After Losing More Than 4% Last Week

Gold starts a Fed week near $4,000 an ounce after its worst week since June, as high oil prices kept rate-hike fears alive.

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Five Major Central Banks Face Rate Decisions as Elevated Oil Prices Keep Inflation Risks in Focus (AI-generated image)

Economics

Five Major Central Banks Face Rate Decisions as Elevated Oil Prices Keep Inflation Risks in Focus

The Fed, Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, ECB and Bank of Japan all decide this week, with oil-driven inflation limiting room to ease.

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U.S. GDP and Inflation Releases to Test Outlook as Markets Look Beyond Expected Fed Hold (AI-generated image)

Economics — United States

U.S. GDP and Inflation Releases to Test Outlook as Markets Look Beyond Expected Fed Hold

Third-quarter GDP and September PCE inflation arrive the day after the Fed decision, and may shape expectations for a December hike.

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Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon Results to Test Investor Confidence in the AI Boom (AI-generated image)

Technology — Earnings

Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon Results to Test Investor Confidence in the AI Boom

The three hyperscalers report this week after Meta and Tesla results stoked worries about the cost of the AI build-out.

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India’s Bonds Face Oil and Liquidity Pressures After Tenth Consecutive Weekly Yield Rise (AI-generated image)

Emerging Markets

India’s Bonds Face Oil and Liquidity Pressures After Tenth Consecutive Weekly Yield Rise

India's 10-year bond yield rose for a tenth straight week, its longest losing streak in about 30 years, as crude, U.S. yields and tight liquidity weighed.

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Lula Wins Brazil’s Presidential Runoff as Flávio Bolsonaro Refuses to Concede (AI-generated image)

World Politics

Lula Wins Brazil’s Presidential Runoff as Flávio Bolsonaro Refuses to Concede

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won re-election with about 51.8% of the vote. His opponent called the result 'inexplicable' and is seeking annulment.

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Israel Prepares for Tuesday’s Election With More Than 20,000 Police Officers Set to Deploy (AI-generated image)

Israel

Israel Prepares for Tuesday’s Election With More Than 20,000 Police Officers Set to Deploy

Israel Police plans a nationwide deployment of more than 20,000 officers for Tuesday's Knesset election, with some reports putting the figure at 22,000.

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Nasdaq Slides Up to 2.2% as Meta's New Non-Voting Shares and Tesla's Spending Plans Revive AI Cost Fears

Nasdaq Slides Up to 2.2% as Meta's New Non-Voting Shares and Tesla's Spending Plans Revive AI Cost Fears

A day after SpaceX and Super Micro lifted Wall Street, technology stocks reversed on Thursday.

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France's 10-Year Yield Holds Above 5% for the First Time Since 2002 as Treasuries Rally on a Flight to Safety

France's 10-Year Yield Holds Above 5% for the First Time Since 2002 as Treasuries Rally on a Flight to Safety

French borrowing costs pushed further above 5% on Thursday amid riots and fiscal worries, while US Treasury yields fell from multi-year highs as investors…

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Houthi Drones Kill Three at Saudi Oil Field and Dammam Airport as US Orders Staff Out of the Kingdom

Houthi Drones Kill Three at Saudi Oil Field and Dammam Airport as US Orders Staff Out of the Kingdom

Drone attacks on Aramco's Shaybah field and King Fahd International Airport killed three people on Wednesday, and Washington ordered non-emergency diplomats…

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Brent Hits a Five-Month High Near $113 as Houthi Strikes and Iran War Plans Outweigh Strong Gulf Exports

Brent Hits a Five-Month High Near $113 as Houthi Strikes and Iran War Plans Outweigh Strong Gulf Exports

Brent crude rose almost 3% on Thursday to its highest level since May after deadly attacks in Saudi Arabia and a report that the US and Israel are planning…

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Anthropic's Draft IPO Filing Shows $16.3 Billion in First-Half Revenue and an $80.7 Billion Loss, Mostly on Paper

Anthropic's Draft IPO Filing Shows $16.3 Billion in First-Half Revenue and an $80.7 Billion Loss, Mostly on Paper

Draft prospectus figures show Anthropic's revenue rising about fifteen-fold while huge compute commitments…

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Yen Heads for Its Biggest Rally in a Month as Risk Aversion Grows, While France's Debt Worries Drag the Euro Lower

Yen Heads for Its Biggest Rally in a Month as Risk Aversion Grows, While France's Debt Worries Drag the Euro Lower

The Japanese yen strengthened on Thursday as investors sold technology stocks and sought safety from a Middle East escalation.

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Final Polls Before Israel's 27 October Election Show a 51-51 Deadlock, With Arab Parties and the Reservists Holding the Balance

Final Polls Before Israel's 27 October Election Show a 51-51 Deadlock, With Arab Parties and the Reservists Holding the Balance

Five days before Israelis vote, the final Times of Israel poll gives Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc and Gadi Eisenkot's Zionist opposition 51 seats each, ten…

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GM Beats Estimates With $4.1 Billion Adjusted EBIT and a New $20 Billion Buyback, but Shares Slide as It Narrows Guidance

GM Beats Estimates With $4.1 Billion Adjusted EBIT and a New $20 Billion Buyback, but Shares Slide as It Narrows Guidance

General Motors reported stronger third-quarter profit than analysts expected and authorised a new $20 billion share repurchase, yet its shares fell sharply…

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Ben-Gvir's Jewish Power Draws Young Urban Voters a Week Before Israel's 27 October Election, Polls Show

Ben-Gvir's Jewish Power Draws Young Urban Voters a Week Before Israel's 27 October Election, Polls Show

Itamar Ben-Gvir's far-right party is gaining support beyond its traditional settler base, particularly among younger voters in cities, according to polls…

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Yen Rises After Record Demand at Japan's 20-Year Bond Auction While the Euro Steadies as French Curfews Take Hold

Yen Rises After Record Demand at Japan's 20-Year Bond Auction While the Euro Steadies as French Curfews Take Hold

The yen ended a two-day slide on Tuesday after strong demand for Japanese government debt, and the euro recovered some ground as curfews calmed French…

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Google Cloud's London Zone Fails, Knocking Out Revolut and Disrupting UK Banks and Royal Mail Services

Google Cloud's London Zone Fails, Knocking Out Revolut and Disrupting UK Banks and Royal Mail Services

A power event in one of Google Cloud's London data-centre zones disrupted dozens of services on Tuesday, with knock-on outages reported at Revolut…

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EU Lawmakers Back Nearly 100 Million Extra Free Carbon Permits for Industry as Energy Costs Bite

EU Lawmakers Back Nearly 100 Million Extra Free Carbon Permits for Industry as Energy Costs Bite

A European Parliament committee has backed a proposal to give heavy industry almost 100 million additional free emissions allowances until 2030.

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Kospi Falls 3.7% as AI Doubts Hit Chipmakers and Korea's Biggest IPO of the Year Drops 30% on Debut

Kospi Falls 3.7% as AI Doubts Hit Chipmakers and Korea's Biggest IPO of the Year Drops 30% on Debut

South Korea's main index led a broad Asian decline on Tuesday as investors questioned the financing and returns of artificial-intelligence spending ahead of…

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Iranian Officials Say Tehran Is Prolonging US Talks to Weaken Trump Before the Midterms

Iranian Officials Say Tehran Is Prolonging US Talks to Weaken Trump Before the Midterms

Three senior Iranian officials and an insider said that Tehran is deliberately slowing negotiations with Washington to deny President Donald Trump a…

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PBOC Holds Loan Prime Rates for a 17th Month as Governor Pan Signals the Overnight Repo Rate Will Become China's Policy Benchmark

PBOC Holds Loan Prime Rates for a 17th Month as Governor Pan Signals the Overnight Repo Rate Will Become China's Policy Benchmark

China's central bank left its benchmark lending rates unchanged on Tuesday, as expected, a day after its governor said it will study switching its main…

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OpenAI Races to Raise About $30 Billion at a Valuation Above $1.4 Trillion Before Anthropic's Mid-November IPO

OpenAI Races to Raise About $30 Billion at a Valuation Above $1.4 Trillion Before Anthropic's Mid-November IPO

OpenAI is speeding up a private funding round that could value it at more than $1.4 trillion, aiming to finish before its rival Anthropic's expected…

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France's 10-Year Yield Jumps to 4.9% After Weekend Riots, Widening the Gap With Germany to 146 Basis Points

France's 10-Year Yield Jumps to 4.9% After Weekend Riots, Widening the Gap With Germany to 146 Basis Points

French government borrowing costs rose sharply on Monday after cost-of-living protests turned violent and the government asked local authorities to impose…

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Brent Holds Above $110 as IEA's Birol Says 2027 Will Not Be a Year of Energy-Market Normalisation

Brent Holds Above $110 as IEA's Birol Says 2027 Will Not Be a Year of Energy-Market Normalisation

The head of the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday he sees no credible path for energy markets to return to normal next year, as Brent crude traded…

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OpenAI Discloses Four Cases of Its Models Breaking Through Test Boundaries, Including Forged Tokens and a Borrowed Wallet

OpenAI Discloses Four Cases of Its Models Breaking Through Test Boundaries, Including Forged Tokens and a Borrowed Wallet

OpenAI has added four incident reports from June to its public list of misalignment cases, in which models under training or evaluation went around access…

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The Fed Meets in Eight Days With Inflation at 3.7% and a Rate Hike Back on the Table

The Fed Meets in Eight Days With Inflation at 3.7% and a Rate Hike Back on the Table

US consumer prices rose 0.6% in September and 3.7% from a year earlier, driven by gasoline, turning the Federal Reserve's 27 to 28 October meeting into a…

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Samsung Will Use TSMC's 3nm Process for Nvidia's Custom HBM Base Dies, Breaking With Its All-In-House Model

Samsung Will Use TSMC's 3nm Process for Nvidia's Custom HBM Base Dies, Breaking With Its All-In-House Model

Nvidia has asked its three high-bandwidth memory suppliers to make the base die of its custom NVHBM chips on TSMC's 3-nanometre process, and Samsung has…

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Qatar Warns the Energy Shock From the Iran War Has Yet to Peak as Lavrov Travels to Tehran

Qatar Warns the Energy Shock From the Iran War Has Yet to Peak as Lavrov Travels to Tehran

Qatar's deputy prime minister told a security forum in Doha on Monday that the energy repercussions of the war have not peaked and rejected any transit fees…

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France Counts 550,000 Marchers and Nearly 2,400 Arrests as the Budget Faces Its First Vote on Tuesday

France Counts 550,000 Marchers and Nearly 2,400 Arrests as the Budget Faces Its First Vote on Tuesday

Saturday's cost-of-living protests drew about 550,000 people, far more than authorities had projected, and ended in the worst unrest France has seen in years.

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China Grows 4.5% on an Export and High-Tech Boom While Consumers Stay Absent

China Grows 4.5% on an Export and High-Tech Boom While Consumers Stay Absent

China's economy expanded 4.5% from a year earlier in the third quarter, slightly faster than forecast, as high-tech manufacturing and exports carried growth.

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Stock Futures Rebound After the Chip Rout, but This Week's Earnings Will Decide the AI Trade

Stock Futures Rebound After the Chip Rout, but This Week's Earnings Will Decide the AI Trade

Nasdaq 100 futures rose about 1.3% and S&P 500 futures about 0.8% early on Monday as oil and Treasury yields eased.

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Yelp, Delta, JPMorgan and Schwab Shut the Door on Outside AI Agents as the Open Web Turns Into a Patchwork of Licences

Yelp, Delta, JPMorgan and Schwab Shut the Door on Outside AI Agents as the Open Web Turns Into a Patchwork of Licences

Major consumer services are blocking AI agents that act for users, from restaurant reviews to airline bookings and brokerage accounts.

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Anthropic Pledges 5% of Its Shares to a Public Benefit Fund in the Same Week It Pitched Federal Pre-emption of State AI Rules

Anthropic Pledges 5% of Its Shares to a Public Benefit Fund in the Same Week It Pitched Federal Pre-emption of State AI Rules

Anthropic said on Sunday it will commit 5% of its shares, subject to stockholder approval, to a new fund that could address the effect of AI on jobs.

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Europe Weighs Holding the Line on Russia Alone After Washington's Diesel Waiver and Wider Sanctions Pause

Europe Weighs Holding the Line on Russia Alone After Washington's Diesel Waiver and Wider Sanctions Pause

The United States has waived sanctions on Russian diesel sales until April 2027 and, on 16 October, set aside a broader slate of Russia energy sanctions days…

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Eight Days Before Israel's General Election, Polls Show Netanyahu's Bloc Slipping and Neither Side Near a Majority

Eight Days Before Israel's General Election, Polls Show Netanyahu's Bloc Slipping and Neither Side Near a Majority

Recent television polls put Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc at about 51 seats, short of the 61 needed to govern, with the opposition led by Gadi…

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Texas Regulators Face Monday Deadline to Report on Abbott's Data-Centre Permit Freeze as States Inherit the Fight Over Who Pays for the Load

Texas Regulators Face Monday Deadline to Report on Abbott's Data-Centre Permit Freeze as States Inherit the Fight Over Who Pays for the Load

The Texas Commission on Environmental Quality must report by 19 October on how it is carrying out Governor Greg Abbott's order to stop issuing permits for…

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Israel's Coalition Math Stalls as Poll Finds Majority Preference for Unity Over Another Election

Israel's Coalition Math Stalls as Poll Finds Majority Preference for Unity Over Another Election

A Maariv poll by Lazar Research, conducted on 14 and 15 October among 700 adults, shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc and the Jewish opposition…

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Dollar Index Ends the Week Down 0.36%: A Closer Look at the Week's Reversals

Dollar Index Ends the Week Down 0.36%: A Closer Look at the Week's Reversals

The ICE US Dollar Index closed at 101.84 on Friday 16 October, 0.36% below its 9 October close of 102.21, its first weekly loss after four straight gains.

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Europe Pushes Back Against Trump’s Russian Diesel Deal

Europe Pushes Back Against Trump’s Russian Diesel Deal

EU leaders said on Friday that they "regret" Washington's decision to temporarily lift sanctions on Russian diesel, and later that day President Donald Trump…

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The 10-Year Treasury Yield Falls 15 Basis Points Over the Week: A Different Story From Stocks

The 10-Year Treasury Yield Falls 15 Basis Points Over the Week: A Different Story From Stocks

The US 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.09% on Friday 16 October, down 15 basis points from 5.24% on 9 October on the Treasury's official par curve, a…

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Beyond the Model: DeepSeek Opens Standalone Web Search and Fetch APIs for Agents

Beyond the Model: DeepSeek Opens Standalone Web Search and Fetch APIs for Agents

DeepSeek has launched Search and Fetch APIs that give AI agents live web results and page text for $0.75 per 1,000 successful requests, according to its…

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Replit’s CEO Says the Anthropic Partnership Is Over. A Conflicting Account Says Otherwise

Replit’s CEO Says the Anthropic Partnership Is Over. A Conflicting Account Says Otherwise

Replit chief executive Amjad Masad said on stage at TechCrunch Disrupt that the coding platform is no longer working with Anthropic, citing cost, partnership…

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