The Zevin Intelligence Journal

Chanan Zevin | Chief Editor and Head of Desks

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Morning Edition · Wed 4 Mar 2026

Bonds Market Context Brief — Close Date 2026-09-09

Limited factual bonds market-close briefing for 2026-09-09.

Chanan Zevin - Chief Editor and Head of Desks

Published

AI illustration: Treasury-inspired stone columns and archival paper illustrating sovereign debt
AI illustration: not a photograph of the events described.

Executive Summary

This bonds edition is a limited factual note covering 3 public market instruments. Observed closes: 3. No research forecasts are attached because the approved prediction export for this asset class was not available. Figures are observations, not guarantees.

Market Context

Market-data date for public closes is 2026-09-09. Editorial prediction-date context remains 2026-03-04.

Key Findings

Largest absolute observed percent change among listed names: US 13-week bill yield at +0.79% (close 3.81).

US 13-week bill yield: observed close 3.81, session change +0.79%.

US 10-year yield: observed close 4.84, session change +0.65%.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: observed close 81.73, session change -0.57%.

Analysis

Without an approved bonds prediction export, analysis is restricted to describing observed closes and session changes. Readers must not treat this note as a forecast package. US 13-week bill yield: observed close 3.81, session change +0.79%. US 10-year yield: observed close 4.84, session change +0.65%. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: observed close 81.73, session change -0.57%.

Risks and Alternative Scenarios

Key risks include stale source timestamps, incomplete actual prints for individual tickers, and over-interpretation of single-session residuals. Alternative scenario: if subsequent approved exports revise levels, this edition should be superseded rather than silently overwritten with failed content.

Conclusion

The bonds desk publishes limited factual closes only for this edition. Full research coverage resumes when approved research exports are available.

Methodology and Data Note

Data note: observed closes from the public market archive after approved research exports were unavailable. No proprietary model identifiers are included.

Disclaimer

This publication is provided for informational and research purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Forecasts and market analysis involve uncertainty and should not be treated as guarantees.

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