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The Zevin Intelligence Journal

Chanan Zevin

Chief Editor and Head of Desks

Independent intelligence on the forces shaping our world.

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The Zevin Newsroom

3 Nov 2026: Strikes and peace talks — the Iran war at the midterm crossroads

· News edition · 8:17

Play: The Zevin Newsroom, Tuesday 3 November 2026
News edition, 8:17. English captions available on YouTube.

The Zevin Newsroom by Chanan Zevin for Tuesday 3 November 2026, US Election Day. Chief Editor Chanan Zevin and our news presenter open with our view on the Iran war, then the day's news, summarised in our own words from reporting by Bloomberg, The New York Times and The Washington Post. Items attributed to anonymous officials are marked as reported.

Today's news

  1. Our View: Peace talks with fingers on the trigger. Opinion: the view of The Zevin Newsroom. Source: Editorial opinion
  2. Iran War: US reportedly strikes Qeshm Island. Officials call it defensive, not a return to full-scale war. Source: The New York Times, Bloomberg
  3. Iran War: Iran: Hormuz could reopen in two days. If Washington lifts sanctions and frees assets, Tehran says. Source: The New York Times
  4. Iran War: Deal, or the hammer. Trump keeps the threat of renewed strikes on the table. Source: The Washington Post, The New York Times
  5. Israel: Trump and Netanyahu discuss Iran. Reports of pressure for strikes; Israel denies pressing. Source: The Washington Post
  6. US Election: America votes in the midterms. Democrats favored to win the Senate; full results may take time. Source: The Washington Post, Bloomberg
  7. France: France: students keep up blockades. Prime Minister Lecornu plans new talks with students. Source: Bloomberg
  8. Ukraine: Russian bombs hit aid centre: 26 dead. Strike follows the end of the war's longest local ceasefire. Source: The Washington Post
  9. Europe: European troops rehearse for postwar Ukraine. Exercise in Poland led by Britain and France this month. Source: The Washington Post

Economic Analysis: markets, oil, stocks, bonds and forex

The edition closes with our economic analysis of the day's markets, based on reporting by Bloomberg, the Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal and Forbes.

  1. Oil: Oil steadies near $105 after an 8% plunge. European gas fell almost 9% on peace-talk hopes. Source: Bloomberg
  2. Stocks: Chip rout deepens in Asia. Nasdaq 100 in correction; Apple slips on margin outlook. Source: Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal
  3. Bonds: Treasuries rally as oil drops. 10-year yield touches its lowest since September. Source: Bloomberg
  4. Forex: Aussie dollar falls after a split RBA hike. Rate at an 18-year high of 4.85%; dollar little changed. Source: Bloomberg
  5. AI & Crypto: AI dealmaking meets investor doubt. Marvell-Lumentum $115bn deal; Oracle and Alphabet raise debt. Source: Bloomberg, Forbes

Chapters

Images in this edition are illustrative and were created with AI; the presenter voice is synthetic.